Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.098151 0.113505 0.130457 0.150562 0.173756 0.199681 0.230864
2025-12-14 0.072151 0.092241 0.116699 0.148670 0.189373 0.239497 0.305977
2025-12-21 0.059423 0.081484 0.110242 0.150475 0.205347 0.277645 0.380304
2025-12-28 0.052522 0.076259 0.108971 0.157345 0.227124 0.324269 0.470094
2026-01-04 0.046606 0.071105 0.106537 0.161509 0.244750 0.366296 0.557746
2026-01-11 0.041805 0.066671 0.104218 0.165032 0.261206 0.407751 0.648735
2026-01-18 0.037406 0.062122 0.100942 0.166334 0.273934 0.444396 0.735951
2026-01-25 0.033060 0.057006 0.096014 0.164159 0.280486 0.471537 0.810429
2026-02-01 0.028835 0.051501 0.089708 0.158768 0.280785 0.488057 0.868480
2026-02-08 0.026565 0.049045 0.088178 0.161216 0.294512 0.528248 0.971235
2026-02-15 0.024317 0.046329 0.085835 0.161853 0.304918 0.563456 1.068609
2026-02-22 0.022570 0.044308 0.084474 0.164039 0.318228 0.604978 1.181747
2026-03-01 0.020247 0.040957 0.080354 0.160695 0.321016 0.627845 1.263171
2026-03-08 0.018353 0.038225 0.077115 0.158695 0.326197 0.655842 1.357967
2026-03-15 0.017107 0.036645 0.075934 0.160622 0.339332 0.700590 1.491205
2026-03-22 0.016525 0.036367 0.077326 0.167954 0.364305 0.771594 1.686525
2026-03-29 0.015709 0.035488 0.077364 0.172397 0.383613 0.832804 1.867684
2026-04-05 0.014902 0.034527 0.077113 0.176157 0.401797 0.893409 2.054095
2026-04-12 0.013972 0.033180 0.075869 0.177548 0.414821 0.944065 2.223682
2026-04-19 0.012852 0.031261 0.073137 0.175226 0.419094 0.975637 2.352797
2026-04-26 0.011604 0.028896 0.069132 0.169473 0.414700 0.986969 2.435424
2026-05-03 0.011023 0.028079 0.068652 0.172085 0.430537 1.046873 2.641479
2026-05-10 0.010368 0.027004 0.067439 0.172765 0.441705 1.096766 2.828293